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The raw league table is deceptive: Feyenoord remain unbeaten with 25 points from 11 games, while Heerenveen are seventh on 18 points. Yet the momentum graph points firmly in the home side's direction. Heerenveen have won four of their last five matches in all competitions, including a 1–0 home victory over NEC, and have kept a league-high five clean sheets. Feyenoord, by contrast, have gone four games without a win—draws against PSV and Fortuna Sittard were followed by a chastening 0–3 Champions League defeat to Inter Milan. The Rotterdam giants have scored just two goals across their last four matches, a stark drop-off from their season average of roughly three goals per league game. Feyenoord lead the Eredivisie in xG difference (around +17.7) and average 3.2–3.4 goals per game, while Heerenveen's home defensive numbers are respectable but not impenetrable: they concede about 0.83 goals per home match and have a home clean-sheet rate of roughly 50% in the current caAH
HOL D1
SC Heerenveen
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Feyenoord
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AZ Alkmaar enter the match in fifth place with 20 points from 11 matches, yet their recent league form is objectively poor: one win, one draw, and three defeats in their last five Eredivisie outings, a run that has yielded just three goals scored and seven conceded. The midweek Europa League defeat to Juventus extended their losing streak across all competitions to three matches, and the team has now taken only one point from their last four league games. Groningen, eighth on 15 points, are the mirror image of AZ in stylistic terms. They have scored 26 goals in 11 matches—an average of 2.4 per game—but have conceded 24, the joint-worst defensive record among the top nine teams, and have kept only one clean sheet all season. The head-to-head record offers a cautionary note for AZ. Groningen won the most recent meeting 3–0 in March 2026 at Euroborg, demonstrating they can overwhelm AZ when the match opens up. Yet AZ's home record in this fixture remains overwhelmingly strong,AHHOL D1
AZ Alkmaar
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Groningen
HOL D1
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