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Colleen HensleyWon 11/12Follow91.7%Win Rate +75.4%ROI 13Tips 1.90Avg Odds -
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Note: Statistics base on data from last 7 or 30 days
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Home side Londrina’s attacking output at their own ground is heavily dependent on set pieces, with their recent finishing conversion rate sitting at a dismal 8.4%.
Away side Cuiaba has consistently posted slack defensive performances on the road, shipping more than 1.4 goals per away fixture on average.
Both teams register a key pass success rate below 20%, but Cuiaba’s frontline pass error rate surges to 35%, a stat that fully exposes their obvious shortcomings in backcourt possession build-up.
In midfield duels, Londrina records 12 interceptions per game on average but moves the ball forward at a very slow pace after winning back possession. Cuiaba, by comparison, thrives on fast counterattacks, covering 1.2km more in high-intensity sprints per match than their opponents.
On the defensive end, Londrina makes a high volume of clearances but most of these actions lack targeted positioning, while Cuiaba’s steal count is relatively low, yet their efforts to block passing lanes are far more precise.
Further Reading
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FAYALORRRDNewly promoted to Brazil’s Serie B this term, Londrina has found it tough to compete against more established second-tier sides with its limited overall strength. The club snapped a four-game league losing streak in their latest away outing, securing a 2-2 draw against Atletico Brasil, and currently sits 18th in the standings with 7 wins, 8 draws and 18 losses for a total of 29 points, stuck firmly in the relegation zone. Their attacking numbers are decent, with 1.27 goals scored on average per game, but their fragile defense has been their biggest flaw all season, shipping 1.48 goals per match on average. I have spotted solid value on away sides staying undefeated across two separate South American football fixtures this round. For the Colombian top flight clash, the visiting side puts up a resilient enough performance to avoid losing in full time. Turning to the Brazilian Serie B tie, Cuiaba is my pick to remain unbeaten on the road. Founded in December 2001, the professional clubAH
BRA D2
Londrina PR
1-0
Cuiaba
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Tyson I Malik - Go Bears Forever Won 4/5Sitting 18th in the league and trapped deep in the relegation zone, the home side Londrina has no room for error in their remaining fixtures. Their home turf is their most reliable point-gathering ground, so they will set up a rigid, compact defensive framework, not shying away from tactical fouls to disrupt the visiting side's attacking rhythm, aiming to at least lock in a clean draw, or even snatch all three points if the chance arises. As for 11th-placed visitor Cuiabá, they sit comfortably in mid-table with no realistic shot at promotion and zero relegation pressure, leaving them with almost no competitive motivation for this tie. They are highly likely to rotate a number of first-team regulars for the away trip, and will not press with full intensity for 90 minutes, opting for a low-risk, steady gameplan instead. Londrina will be without their core starting central defender for this fixture, a blow that has greatly undermined their defensive stability. Their forward line also posAHBRA D2
Londrina PR
1-0
Cuiaba
-
Janan💚Londrina have slipped into a clear low ebb in recent weeks, with both team morale and competitive confidence taking a noticeable knock. Their most recent fixture in the Parana State Cup ended in a penalty shootout exit against Atletico Paranaense B after a 3-3 full-time scoreline, a result that exposed their poor finishing efficiency in the attacking third, as well as unacceptably lax concentration across their backline. Looking back at their earlier Brazilian Serie B showings, their form has been extremely patchy and inconsistent. Their away trip against Atletico Paranaense saw them grind through a tough run of results that yielded just two draws alongside two defeats, with very little positive momentum to carry into this upcoming home fixture against Cuiaba.O/UBRA D2
Londrina PR
1-0
Cuiaba
88
BRA D2
