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JoãoThe massive gap in home performance across the ongoing Brazilian Serie A season immediately stands out when assessing this matchup. Bahia, currently 6th in the league table, have racked up 12 wins, 10 draws and 7 losses after 29 rounds of play, earning 46 total points with a 41.4% win rate that highlights their strong consistency and competitiveness. Their visiting opponents Mirassol, by contrast, sit 15th with only 33 total points and a 27.6% overall win rate, leaving the two sides in completely different competitive brackets with a clear gap in overall quality. Bahia’s home form this term is especially outstanding: across 14 home fixtures, they have recorded 6 wins, 6 draws and just 2 losses, for an unbeaten rate above 80%. They have scored 22 goals and conceded only 14 on home soil, for a positive goal difference of 8. Their solid defensive structure and consistent attacking threat make them an extremely tough side to beat at their own ground. Bahia’s inconsistent recent form stO/U
BRA D1
Bahia
1-0 Mirassol
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Pi314Looking at the underlying performance metrics from recent outings, Bahia holds a clear edge across nearly all key attacking and physical metrics against Mirassol. Their finishing conversion rate stands at 18.2% compared to Mirassol's 12.4%, while their expected goals per game hits 1.8, far higher than the visitor's 1.1. They also outperform their opponents in key pass completion rate (62% vs 54%) and the total value of final-third passes (12.3 vs 9.7). Their 58% average possession share dwarfs Mirassol's 42%, and they complete 14 fast transition plays per game, nearly double the 8 the away side manages. On the physical side, Bahia's average total running distance per match reaches 118km, with 56 high-intensity sprints, both far better than Mirassol's 109km total running distance and 42 high-intensity sprints. Follow my analysis for more sharp, data-backed football insights to get access to accurate match predictions. Looking at the defensive performance metrics from both sides, Bahia hAHBRA D1
Bahia
1-0 Mirassol
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BET ENSUREDBahia Stats In the last games, Bahia has shown diverse performance statistics. They have a win rate of 40%, while their draw rate stands at 40%. On the other hand, they lost 20% of the games. Interesting aspects include a 40% rate of winning with over 1.5 goals scored and a 10% rate of losing while conceding over 1.5 goals. On average, Bahia scores 2 goals per game and concedes 1 goals per game. Their clean sheet rate is 30% of the games, and the team scored in 70% of the games. Goals were scored in both halves in 30% of the games, and both teams scored (BTTS) in 60% of the matches. The combination of winning and BTTS occurred in 30% of the games, while a draw with BTTS was seen in 20%, and losing with BTTS in 10%. The match total goals were 0 goals in 20% of the games, 1 goal in 10% of the games, 2 goals in 20% of the games, 3 goals in 20% of the games, and 4 or more goals in 30% of the games. Mirassol Stats In their recent games, Mirassol has demonstrated varied performance levels. T1x2BRA D1
Bahia
1-0 Mirassol
BRA D1
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The two sides in this Liga MX fixture, home side Pumas UNAM and visiting Cruz Azul, have posted starkly different trends in tactical execution consistency and defensive performance of late. Pumas UNAM has encountered a tough stretch in recent league action, securing just one win from their last five matches, with multiple games highlighting obvious sloppiness across their backline. In their recent clash against Atletico San Luis, Pumas held a lopsided 11-2 edge in corner kicks, a clear indicator of their strong wide penetration and willingness to control possession, but could not convert that dominance into a full three points, ending up on the wrong side of a 2-3 scoreline. The two sides in this Liga MX fixture have posted wildly divergent form right from the start of the ongoing campaign, setting up a fascinating tactical battle on the pitch. Host side Pumas UNAM are currently trapped in a deep form slump, having claimed only 1 win across their last 10 matches, with a win rate as lowO/U
MEX D1
Pumas U.N.A.M.
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CDSyC Cruz Azul
MEX D1
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