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Adin ReportsStarting from the finishing efficiency metrics, Alaves’ 12% attacking end conversion rate is far lower than Atletico Madrid’s 18%, with their respective expected goals (xG) of 0.8 and 1.4 clearly showing the gap in attacking output. Atletico also outperform their opponents by a wide margin in key pass success rate, hitting 65% compared to Alaves’ 48%, and their 12.3 value of final-third passes versus Alaves’ 8.1 further highlights their solid pitch control. In terms of midfield dominance, Atletico’s 62% average possession rate, paired with 1.2 quick transitions per minute, plus their 112km total running distance and 15 high-intensity sprints per match, all lay out their distinct physical edge in this fixture. Looking at the latest defensive performance metrics of both sides, the gap between Alaves and Atletico Madrid is quite distinct. Alaves' recent per-game average of 11 tackles and 7 interceptions lags far behind Atletico's 19 and 12 respectively. Atletico's solid backlineAH
SPA D1
Alaves
1-2 Atletico Madrid
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GEN. KIPROTICH ♟️The home side has maintained a sharp, fast-paced attacking style across their recent home outings. Across their last three home matches, they average 18 attacking sequences per game, with each possession lasting just 25 seconds on average — 3 seconds faster than their usual away-game tempo. They have created 4 scoring chances from quick, transitional attacks in their past three fixtures. The visiting side is particularly adept at slowing down opponents' rhythm on the road. In their last four away games, they have managed to extend opponents' average possession duration by 5 seconds, with their back line pulling off 9 tactical fouls per game to break up flowing attacks. They have not conceded a single goal from fast breaks in their past three matches. These two directly opposing traits, the home team's rapid attacking tempo and the away side's proven ability to disrupt that rhythm, will heavily dictate the overall flow of this fixture. The stark contrast between the two sides' defensiO/USPA D1
Alaves
1-2 Atletico Madrid
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IllaraMax Won 7/9• Atlético Madrid: Sitting 2nd in the table with 16 points, Diego Simeone's side enters with strong momentum and consecutive wins (including a win over Real Madrid). • Deportivo Alavés: Positioned 6th with 11 points, Alavés has been solid at Mendizorroza historically, though they hit a rough patch with just 1 point from their last 3 league games prior to the international break. • Head-to-Head: Atlético has won 6 of the last 10 meetings, though Alavés has proven stubborn on home turf. Alaves deserve a lot of respect for their overall performance level this season, but Atletico are on a roll at the moment, and we are expecting the Red and Whites to pick up all three points. Alaves have seen their form take a huge dip in recent weeks, and while they will draw encouragement from recent home results against Atletico, we see them struggling this weekend once again. Prediction: Deportivo Alaves 0-2 Atletico Madrid1x2SPA D1
Alaves
1-2 Atletico Madrid
SPA D1
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