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AquartoSan Marino will continue their 2026-27 UEFA Nations League campaign against Belarus on Saturday, hoping to end a long wait for victory. The hosts have endured a difficult opening to League C Group 1, suffering heavy defeats to Finland and Albania while remaining at the bottom of the standings without a point. Belarus have had a more encouraging start, taking one point from their opening two matches after losing 2-0 to Albania and drawing 0-0 with Finland. Viktor Goncharenko’s side will now have two consecutive home fixtures against San Marino and Finland, giving them an opportunity to improve their position in the group. San Marino have struggled for consistency for much of the past two years, winning only twice in their last 19 Nations League matches and losing 16 of their previous 17 games across all competitions. Their most recent victory came against Liechtenstein in November 2024, while their record in the Nations League stands at two wins, three draws and 14 defeats. The team hAH
UEFA NL
Belarus
4-0 San Marino
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Kira ReeseBoth sides carry full competitive intent as they chase valuable group points. Host Belarus will take full advantage of their home turf to launch non-stop offensive pushes, prioritizing a bigger goal difference to move up the group standings. San Marino, the far lower-ranked side, lacks overall quality across the pitch. Even if they drop into a deep, compact defensive block, their subpar individual defending means they cannot hold out against repeated attacking pressure for extended periods. Belarus boasts consistent, reliable attacking output on home soil, and is adept at generating scoring opportunities via organized positional play and set pieces. San Marino’s backline has long had obvious structural flaws, with a very high average goals conceded rate in major tournament qualifiers and very poor ability to withstand sustained attacking pressure, a pattern that has held true in all their previous head-to-head fixtures against Belarus. Past head-to-head records between these two sideO/UUEFA NL
Belarus
4-0 San Marino
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GoalwireHQ Won 6/9Offensive efficiency gaps between the two sides are far starker than casual pre-match observations suggest. Belarus holds a dominant edge across all core attacking metrics, with an 18.6% finishing conversion rate against San Marino’s mere 9.2%, and their expected goals efficiency stands at 1.8 compared to the opponent’s 0.6. Their key pass success rate hits 62%, and the creative value of their final-third passes is nearly three times higher than San Marino’s 4.1. They also completely outclass their opponents in midfield control: Belarus average 12.4 tackles per match, with a 1.8-second defensive-to-offensive transition speed far quicker than San Marino’s 2.4s. Their total per-game running distance reaches 118km, and they complete 48 high-intensity sprints, more than double San Marino’s 23. While San Marino records decent total numbers in defensive clearances (15) and interception attempts (8), their extremely low tackle efficiency and poor actual interception performance makeO/UUEFA NL
Belarus
4-0 San Marino
UEFA NL
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