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Radio PlutoLooking at the core performance metrics from both sides' recent competitive outings, Ukraine holds a clear edge over Northern Ireland across nearly all key attacking and midfield control indicators. Their 18.2% finishing conversion rate and 1.32 expected goals per game outperform Northern Ireland's 12.4% and 0.98 respectively. They also boast a far higher key pass success rate at 67%, compared to Northern Ireland's 54%, with their progressive pass value in the final third reaching 12.3 against the opponent's 9.1. In midfield battles, Ukraine averages 11.2 tackles per match, and their transition speed after winning back possession hits 1.8 seconds, much faster than Northern Ireland's 2.3 seconds. The side also leads in total running distance at 112km per game, and completes 142 high-intensity sprints on average, 24 more than their opponents' 118.AH
UEFA NL
Ukraine
0-3 Northern Ireland
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Afsiez Won 4/5Looking at the latest 10-game records for both sides, Ukraine has posted 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with their recent run of performances particularly impressive as they have racked up multiple positive results in a row. Northern Ireland, by contrast, have registered 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the same stretch, with their overall form far less consistent. Though the side has shown slight signs of recovery lately, they carry a well-documented flaw: once they fall behind on the scoreboard early, they almost never manage to turn the tide, and end up losing nearly all such matches. Their forward line lacks sufficient quality to generate steady attacking threats, which puts them at a clear disadvantage against the in-form Ukraine side that holds a solid edge in overall strength. This Nations League fixture is set to deliver highly competitive action as both sides battle for vital group points.O/UUEFA NL
Ukraine
0-3 Northern Ireland
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EkayaUkraine have hit an exceptionally strong run of form in recent UEFA Nations League outings, boasting a 60% win rate, with draws and losses each accounting for just 20% of their results — a standout stat across all comparable European international fixtures. By contrast, Northern Ireland’s performances have been far more inconsistent, with only a 40% win ratio and as many as 40% of their matches ending in draws, which points to clear fragility in their match-to-match stability. This stark contrast in underlying form sets a clear tone that Ukraine will hold the upper hand for most of the upcoming fixture, leaving Northern Ireland to overcome huge psychological and tactical pressure if they hope to carve out any positive result. Digging deeper into the two sides' attacking and defensive metrics, Ukraine’s efficiency in the final third is particularly impressive. Ukraine’s overwhelming home dominance across the tracked statistical period is immediately notable. The side has nettedAHUEFA NL
Ukraine
0-3 Northern Ireland
UEFA NL
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