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    Soccer> Community> Angela Murphy>

    Sweden VS Poland

    UEFA Nations League
    Analysis More Tips
    Sweden
    Sweden 3
    1 Poland
    Poland
    Further Reading
    • Steven Marley
      Steven Marley
      Looking at the recent form across both sides, there is barely a noticeable overall gap between the two teams. Sweden have posted 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 10 matches, while Poland’s 10-game record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats. Poland’s past inconsistent showings can be largely attributed to their players’ mental toughness issues and fluctuating individual form. The side has actually been in hot shape on their recent away runs, and they do not fall behind Sweden in most relevant metrics based on the latest released odds. Even with that, the current market data shows far stronger support for Sweden. Poland’s overall recent performance is still far from stable, while Sweden’s key first-team players have got full rest, and the team has maintained a steady, reliable goal output in their latest few fixtures.
      O/U
      UEFA NL Sweden 3-1 Poland
    • Radio Pluto
      Radio Pluto Won 3/4
      Sweden has delivered far more efficient attacking performances than their upcoming opponents in recent competitive fixtures. Their finishing conversion rate stands at 18.3%, well above Poland's 14.1%, while their expected goals (xG) figure of 0.92 also outshines Poland's 0.65, a clear indicator of their greater goal threat in the final third. The Swedish side also holds a 41% key pass success rate, leading Poland's 35%, and their progressive pass value in the final third hits 12.7 versus Poland's 9.2, proving far better penetration in the opposition half. In terms of midfield control, Sweden averages 12.3 interceptions per game, with a transition speed of 1.8 seconds per turnover, faster than Poland's 2.4 seconds, letting them take far more initiative to dictate the game rhythm. They also edge Poland slightly in total running distance at 112.4km per match, and register 23 high-intensity sprints compared to Poland's 18, holding a noticeable advantage in physical reserves for this tie.
      AH
      UEFA NL Sweden 3-1 Poland
    • Topnotch
      Topnotch Won 12/14
      After reaching the knockout stages of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, Sweden continued the strong start to Graham Potter’s reign with a 2-1 victory over Romania the other day, with Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyökeres getting on the scoresheet. Poland, meanwhile, have struggled for consistency in recent periods and were left frustrated in Warsaw after opening their UEFA Nations League campaign with a goalless draw against Bosnia and Herzegovina.
      AH
      UEFA NL Sweden 3-1 Poland
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