Japan vs Venezuela Tips and Predictions AH VΞLØ

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Japan

Venezuela

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Fresh off a morale-boosting friendly victory over Uruguay, Japan carry great momentum into this Kirin Challenge Cup international fixture. Manager Hajime Moriyasu has confirmed he will make sweeping lineup changes for this home tie in Hiroshima, handing plenty of young new players game time to get a feel for the high-intensity physical style of South American sides. Venezuela, who hold a solid FIFA ranking and boast physically imposing players, have left out veteran key figures including Salomón Rondón from their current squad, which is built entirely around young emerging talents. Across their five previous meetings, Japan have only picked up one win, trailing clearly in the historical head-to-head record. With both sides missing several first-choice defenders due to injuries, the outcome of this game will hinge on the intensity of midfield duels, as well as the finishing quality of the attacking lines. Buoyed by full-throated support from home fans, Japan have long built their play

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INT FRL Japan 2-1 Venezuela
GoalwireHQ

From a data-driven analytical perspective, the gap in overall competitiveness between the two teams is very clear. My years of experience studying football matches lead me to find Japan holds a far higher attacking conversion rate at 18.2%, with an expected goals (xG) efficiency of 1.32, which dwarfs Venezuela's corresponding figures of 9.1% and 0.67. Their dominance on the ball is also well supported by on-pitch metrics: their final-third pass value and 62% key pass success rate are both far superior to Venezuela's 45% mark. Japan's midfield defensive system runs far more solidly as well, recording 14 interceptions against Venezuela's 8, with a 78% tackle success rate that outperforms the South American side's 61%. The full Japan squad also edges out their opponents in average total running distance at 112km, plus higher high-intensity sprint counts, which creates plenty of extra open space for their attacking moves to break down the opposition defense.

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INT FRL Japan 2-1 Venezuela
GEN. KIPROTICH ♟️

This side has turned their home ground into a formidable fortress this league campaign, posting a 64% home win rate. They have gone unbeaten across their last six home fixtures, notching 4 wins and 2 draws, while their attack has delivered outstanding firepower with over 2 goals scored per game on average. Deeper data analysis, however, uncovers notable hidden risks. Across their past three matches, they have conceded an average of 14.3 shots against their goal, a 42% surge from their season baseline. Their high pressing tactic has repeatedly been broken through by opponents’ counter-attacks, and their win rate drops to only 33% when they hold more than 55% of possession, exposing the fatal flaw caused by frequent defensive line rotations. Most tellingly, their finishing conversion rate stands at a mere 28% when facing opponents that narrow their defensive block to sit deep. Recent form highlights a distinct performance gap between the two sides for this international friendly. The s

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INT FRL Japan 2-1 Venezuela

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Levante will host a formidable Athletic Bilbao. This game is not only a battle for points but also a direct confrontation between the two sides' recent tactical states and home - away performance differences. Looking at the overall records, Levante has shown a typical "half - and - half" situation this season. Their win rate and loss rate are both 40%, with a draw rate of 20%. They have scored and conceded 14 goals each, resulting in a goal difference of zero. They average 1.4 goals per game and also concede 1.4 goals per game, indicating a relatively balanced attack and defense but a lack of explosive power. In contrast, Athletic Bilbao also has a win rate of 40%, but their loss rate is as high as 50%. Considering the home - field advantage, Levante may have a psychological edge. Their balanced performance at home might give them more confidence in this game. However, Athletic Bilbao, despite its high loss rate, is still a strong opponent. They will surely try their best to turn thing

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SPA D1 Levante - Athletic Bilbao

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Japan VS Venezuela