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SherlockFinal Pick: AH: Belgium +0.25 O/U: Over 2.5 Correct Score: 1-1 / 2-1 ⚽ This UEFA Nations League League A, Group 1 clash sees Belgium host France at the Stade Roi Baudouin in Brussels. Both teams opened the 2026/27 campaign with victories, with Belgium beating Italy 2-0 away from home while France defeated Türkiye 1-0. Analysis Summary This is one of the most evenly matched fixtures of the Nations League round. Belgium have home advantage and arrive after an impressive win in Italy, while France have the stronger recent head-to-head record but face some important attacking selection concerns. Belgium made an excellent start under new head coach Mark van Bommel, defeating Italy 2-0 in Rome. Kevin De Bruyne played an important role in the victory and remains a key figure in Belgium's midfield. UEFA also highlighted his performance as one of the main storylines from the opening round. The result was particularly encouraging because Italy had been expected to provide a difficult tesAH
UEFA NL
Belgium
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France
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GoalwireHQOffensive efficiency stands out as the most obvious gap between the two sides in this Nations League clash. From the data I have sorted, France holds an 18% attacking finishing conversion rate, far higher than Belgium's 12%, with its expected goals (xG) reaching 1.8, 0.5 ahead of the opponent. In terms of final-third passing quality, France completes 42 effective progressive passes at an 89% success rate, while Belgium only hits a 74% success rate in the same metric. France also edges out Belgium in midfield control, averaging 11 interceptions per game, 3 more than their rival, which supports their faster transition speed after winning back possession. The French squad also records a total average running distance of 112km and 17 high-intensity sprints per fixture, both stats better than Belgium's corresponding performance.AHUEFA NL
Belgium
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France
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OssOssOssBelgium has bounced back to solid form recently, with their competitive performance improving steadily. In their last Nations League home fixture against Italy, they delivered sharp displays on both ends of the pitch, posted impressive shooting efficiency, and sealed a comfortable win to kick off their campaign on the right note, greatly lifting the squad's morale. However, the current Belgium squad has obvious shortcomings: first-choice keeper Thibaut Courtois is not named in the national team roster, while key forwards Doku, Trossard and starting midfielder Onana are all sidelined with injuries, which has drastically reduced their attacking threat. France, on the other hand, maintains consistent form and boasts rich, proven competitive strength. They edged past Turkey away in their last Nations League match to secure their opening victory, extending their steady run of good performances. France holds a dominant edge in past meetings against Belgium, notching five straight wins in theAHUEFA NL
Belgium
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France
88
UEFA NL
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Georgia’s recent run of form has been far more consistent than their upcoming Nations League opponents Ukraine. Their attacking output has been really impressive across their latest fixtures, and their home record is particularly eye-catching: across 6 home matches on this ground, they have notched 4 wins and only 2 losses, a very solid stat that highlights their competitiveness on home soil. Ukraine, by comparison, have delivered underwhelming performances lately, with their forward line looking particularly ineffective. Even though Georgia are not a historically strong side in European football, they have shown full dedication to this fixture and carry a clear edge in overall match momentum right now. Both sides will go all out for points, but Georgia are well positioned to secure a winning result here. Georgia have kept a well-balanced recent form across both offensive and defensive phases, with no wildly volatile swings in their match performances. Over their last 10 fixtures, thAHUEFA NL
Georgia
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Ukraine
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