Queretaro FC vs Toluca Tips and Predictions AH Samuel Lainez

Primera Division Liga MX

Analysis More Tips

Queretaro FC

Toluca

Further Reading

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I've been meticulously researching football matches and here's my in - depth analysis of the clash between Club Tijuana and Toluca. In terms of offensive performance, Club Tijuana outshines Toluca. Club Tijuana has a 12% higher conversion rate in offensive finishing. The xG efficiency of Club Tijuana is 0.85, while Toluca's is only 0.62. The key pass success rate of Club Tijuana stands at 72%, compared to Toluca's 58%. Moreover, Club Tijuana has a 15% lead in the value of forward passes. When it comes to midfield control, Club Tijuana holds a 61% control rate, better than Toluca. The team's transition speed reaches 2.3 times per minute. The average running distance of Club Tijuana players is 11.2 kilometers, and the number of high - intensity sprints is 28% more than Toluca's. In defensive statistics, Club Tijuana also has an edge. They made 14 tackles compared to Toluca's 9, and 18 interceptions against Toluca's 12. The clearance data of Club Tijuana is 8.4. In the offensive end, Club

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MEX D1 Queretaro FC 1-2 Toluca
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Beyond the home-field advantage, Toluca shows strong signs of pulling ahead. Querétaro has made a fairly positive start to the Apertura 2026 season, securing 7 points from 4 matches. Victories over Pachuca and Tigres demonstrate their ability to pull off upsets, while a 0-0 draw away at Pumas shows they can drag opponents into a tight, defensive battle. Toluca also has 7 points, but their recent run has been more eventful: a 2-0 win over Guadalajara, a 1-2 loss to Pumas, a 3-1 victory against Necaxa, and a 0-0 draw with Atlante. Their record of 6 goals scored and 3 conceded is superior to Querétaro’s 5-4 tally. The gap in quality becomes even clearer when looking at the previous season. Toluca finished the 2025-26 campaign with 67 points, 71 goals scored, and 34 conceded across 34 matches; in contrast, Querétaro managed only 40 points, scoring 36 and conceding 50, finishing 12th in the league. Head-to-head records offer a notable reference point: Toluca has won four of their last

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MEX D1 Queretaro FC 1-2 Toluca
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Looking at the historical head - to - head records, Toluca has shown remarkable dominance on the road when facing Querétaro. In the past five meetings, Toluca achieved three wins, one draw, and one loss away from home. They had some outstanding performances, like a 4 - 0 thrashing and a 5 - 0 sweep in previous encounters. Querétaro, on the other hand, only managed a narrow 1 - 0 victory at home in one of those games. Toluca's offensive and defensive efficiency on the road is quite impressive. In the past three away games against Querétaro, they scored a total of 12 goals, averaging 4 goals per game. The corner - kick statistics also strongly favor Toluca. In some of the previous away matches, they had a significant lead in corner kicks, such as a 9 - 4 lead in one game and a 6 - 3 lead in another. Even though Querétaro is playing at home this time, Toluca's strong away - game performance in their historical meetings is definitely a factor to consider. It will be interesting to see

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MEX D1 Queretaro FC 1-2 Toluca

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Queretaro FC VS Toluca