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Rinoandi Won 4/6FK Liepaja (5th, 10-4-11, 34 pts) vs Grobina (8th, 4-9-13, 21 pts) in Latvian Virslīga Round 27. Liepaja has a solid home record (6-2-3, 20-11 GD) and recent last-6 form of 3-0-3. Grobina is a bottom-half side with a dreadful away record (2-4-7, 7-28 GD) and last-6 of 1-1-4 (6-17 GD). They concede heavily overall (47 goals in 26 matches). Strength split (66-34) and home advantage align with Liepaja dominance. H2H is mixed historically but Liepaja has multiple comfortable home wins (4-1, 2-0, 3-0 in recent seasons). Grobina’s only recent positive result against them was a 1-0 home win in June 2026. Trends: Liepaja scores regularly at home and creates chances. Grobina’s defensive fragility away makes them vulnerable to 2+ goals conceded. Many of Liepaja’s home fixtures trend toward goals when facing weaker opposition. Expert consensus and models favor Liepaja win with 60-70%+ probability. Expected scores cluster around 2-1, 2-0, 3-1. Main Pick: FK Liepaja Asian Handicap -1 or -1/1AH
LAT D1
FK Liepaja
3-1 Grobina
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Eldy FebriansyahLiepaja has shown a strong performance at home this season. In 3 home games, they've achieved 2 wins and 1 loss, with an impressive win - rate of 66.6%. Their offensive and defensive efficiency is outstanding, averaging 1.66 goals per game and conceding only 0.67 goals per match. Specifically, they've scored 5 goals and conceded just 2 at home, with a goal difference of +3, indicating a solid defense and an efficient attack. The team's overall record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses. They've scored 14 goals and conceded 13, averaging 1.4 goals per game, 4.7 corner - kicks per game, and conceding 1.3 goals on average in the defensive end. Along with an average of 2 yellow cards per game, it reflects their tactical discipline. In contrast, Grobina has a poor away - game form. In 7 away games, they've only scored 4 goals while conceding 17. Their win - rate is a meager 14.2%, with an average of 0.57 goals scored and 2.43 goals conceded per game. Their goal difference of - 13 clearlAHLAT D1
FK Liepaja
3-1 Grobina
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Suyash. Won 8/10Liepaja sits in the 5th position in the Latvian Higher League. After 25 rounds, they have 10 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, accumulating 34 points. They show strong home - field combat ability, achieving 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in 11 home games. Their attack is quite stable, but having just played in the UEFA Europa Conference League, they have suffered some physical fatigue. Their defensive line's stability fluctuates, making them vulnerable to counter - attacks. Fortunately, there are no major injuries to key players. Grobina, on the other hand, ranks 8th and is in the relegation zone. After 26 rounds, they only have 4 wins, 9 draws, and 13 losses. Their away - game defense has huge loopholes, and their away - game goals conceded are among the highest in the league. They've recently suffered heavy defeats, which has led to low morale. Their front - line finishing ability is weak, and it's very difficult for them to get points away from home. In previous head - to - head matches,AHLAT D1
FK Liepaja
3-1 Grobina
LAT D1
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